Wednesday, August 26, 2009

The problems in measuring unemployment in the UK

The UK Government is somewhat confused by the latest unemployment data. The problem is caused by the two different measures of unemployment that they publish. The first is based on the number of people claiming job seekers allowance (JSA). This indicates that unemployment is rising but at a relatively modest rate of around 120000 in the latest three months. In contrast the alternative measure is based on a survey conducted by the International Labour Organisation's (ILO) count. This focuses on those people looking for work. The ILO's latest data shows an increase of some 400000 people unemployed over the same period. The Government has announced an urgent enquiry to try to find out the reasons for the large difference. One very likely explanation is that a number of those people currently becoming unemployed were second earners and they are not bothering to sign on for unemployment benefits. They are living off their partner's income. In addition it seems likely that many migrant workers are registering as unemployed on the ILO survey but they are not entitled to receive JSA. Hopefully in a few months we will get to the full truth behind the UK unemployment data!